Rate Lock Advisory

Wednesday, January 20th

Wednesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory with stocks showing strong gains and little else to drive trading. The Dow is currently up 144 points while the Nasdaq has gained 167 points. The bond market is currently down 4/32 (1.10%) but strength late yesterday should allow this morning’s mortgage rates to be slightly lower than Tuesday’s early pricing.

4/32


Bonds


30 yr - 1.10%

144


Dow


31,074

167


NASDAQ


13,364

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium


Unknown


Treasury Auctions (5,7,10,20,30 year)

We don’t have anything scheduled this morning that is likely to affect rates, but we do have an afternoon event when results of the 20-year Treasury Note auction are posted at 1:00 PM ET. These auctions show what type of demand investors have for long-term securities. If demand is strong in the sale, particularly from international buyers, we could see the broader bond market improve this afternoon like we did last week with the 10-year Note and 30-year Bond sales. On the other hand, lackluster interest in the securities may lead to an upward revision to rates before the end of the day.

Low


Unknown


Housing Starts (New Residential Construction)

Tomorrow has two pieces of data for the markets to digest, starting with December's Housing Starts at 8:30 AM ET. It will tell us how many new home groundbreakings took place during the month. While this data gives us a small indication of housing sector strength, it is not known to be highly influential on mortgage rates. Accordingly, it will take a large variance from forecasts for the report to have a direct impact on mortgage rates. Forecasts show an increase in new home sales. A decline in sales would be favorable to mortgage rates.

Medium


Unknown


Weekly Unemployment Claims (every Thursday)

Also coming early tomorrow morning will be last week’s unemployment figures. They are expected to show 870,000 new claims for unemployment benefits were filed last week, down from the previous week’s surprisingly high 965,000. Rising claims is a sign that the employment sector is weakening, not improving. Therefore, the higher the number of new claims, the better the news it is for the bond market and mortgage rates.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.